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Presidential Job approvals from May 2004, 2012, 2020 and today.

MesaClone

Legend
Gold Member
Aug 20, 2002
13,118
2,604
113
Biden 39.2 | Trump 44.5 | Obama 47.4 | Bush 48.2

And yes, even more then the usual horse race polling...job approval at this point in a term IS predictive of upcoming elections at the national level. Generally, 44-46% is considered a "high danger" approval range for incumbents. Below that tends to be catastrophic.
 
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