In an article published this morning, Wilner of the (San Jose) Mercury News provides his final predictions on the PAC-12:
- Expects the situation to be resolved by end of March
- Using a sports gambling metaphor, he said for months he viewed Pac-12 survival as a 5.5 point favorite over the conference’s demise. He now has that spread down to 5 with it decreasing a half point with each week that passes without a resolution.
- States there’s value in the 7:30 Pacific Time time slot, and not just on Saturday night. Pac can fill that need for Friday as well with no competition
- Ultimately, he predicts a media package with ESPN and Amazon and/or Apple that will be within 10% of the Big 12’s deal. Said a 4th “mystery” media outlet could be in the mix
- Lastly, he thinks there’s a 50% chance the conference adds 2 schools; 45% chance it adds no new schools; and a 5% chance it adds 4 new schools
