Here is a different angle to the Cygarin Ratings projected conference standings....what if Iowa State, Kansas State, BYU, and Colorado had exactly the same power ranking. What would their projected final conference record be?
I don't think that is an unrealistic perspective, all four are virtually even in the power ratings anyway. But this shows how much impact remaining strength of schedule....mostly the impact of home vs. away...has.
So here goes the projected wins, not rounded.....
BYU: 7.62 wins
ISU: 7.44 wins
CU: 6.63 wins
KSU: 6.56 wins
BYU's toughest games left are @ Utah & @ UCF. BYU will be favored by approximately 3 points each.
ISU's toughest games left are KSU & @ Utah. ISU will be favored by approximately 3 points each.
CU's toughest games left are @ Texas Tech and @ Kansas. CU will be favored by approximately 3 points each.
KSU's toughest games left are Arizona State and @ Iowa State, KSU will be heavily favored against ASU by 8 points and underdogs to Iowa State by 3.
ISU, BYU, and CU do not play each other. Nor does CU play Kansas State. Thus, BYU and CU will control their own destinies going foward independent of the other contenders.
Conversely, ISU and KSU do play each other....so their destiny to the CCG is strongly, and perhaps totally, impacted by playing each other...if both teams get that far.
.
Note that other teams are probably out of contention, but can play a huge spoiler role, as UCF and Baylor almost did last Saturday. Here are the best...but not only... chances....
- UCF has the best chance to play that spoiler role against BYU this weekend.
- Cincy has a shot this weekend too against Colorado.
- Utah has a huge opportunity yet this year to play a spoiler role, with both BYU and ISU left on their schedule.
Important games to watch this weekend.....
BYU @ UCF: The Knights nearly knocked off Iowa State on the road. Can they pull out a win against UCF at home? UCF has a "better" win against @ TCU than what BYU at home is... so it is possible.
Cincy @ CU: The Buffs will be strongly favored by 8 points against the Bearcats. Cincy has a win against @ UCF that comes close, and that makes them potentially competent enough for consideration, so it's at least plausible.
KU @ KSU: The Wildcats will be heavily favored by 10 points against the J-Hawks....Can the Kansas pull off the intrastate rivalry upset? It doesn't appear very likely.
(In my opinion.)
I don't think that is an unrealistic perspective, all four are virtually even in the power ratings anyway. But this shows how much impact remaining strength of schedule....mostly the impact of home vs. away...has.
So here goes the projected wins, not rounded.....
BYU: 7.62 wins
ISU: 7.44 wins
CU: 6.63 wins
KSU: 6.56 wins
BYU's toughest games left are @ Utah & @ UCF. BYU will be favored by approximately 3 points each.
ISU's toughest games left are KSU & @ Utah. ISU will be favored by approximately 3 points each.
CU's toughest games left are @ Texas Tech and @ Kansas. CU will be favored by approximately 3 points each.
KSU's toughest games left are Arizona State and @ Iowa State, KSU will be heavily favored against ASU by 8 points and underdogs to Iowa State by 3.
ISU, BYU, and CU do not play each other. Nor does CU play Kansas State. Thus, BYU and CU will control their own destinies going foward independent of the other contenders.
Conversely, ISU and KSU do play each other....so their destiny to the CCG is strongly, and perhaps totally, impacted by playing each other...if both teams get that far.
.
Note that other teams are probably out of contention, but can play a huge spoiler role, as UCF and Baylor almost did last Saturday. Here are the best...but not only... chances....
- UCF has the best chance to play that spoiler role against BYU this weekend.
- Cincy has a shot this weekend too against Colorado.
- Utah has a huge opportunity yet this year to play a spoiler role, with both BYU and ISU left on their schedule.
Important games to watch this weekend.....
BYU @ UCF: The Knights nearly knocked off Iowa State on the road. Can they pull out a win against UCF at home? UCF has a "better" win against @ TCU than what BYU at home is... so it is possible.
Cincy @ CU: The Buffs will be strongly favored by 8 points against the Bearcats. Cincy has a win against @ UCF that comes close, and that makes them potentially competent enough for consideration, so it's at least plausible.
KU @ KSU: The Wildcats will be heavily favored by 10 points against the J-Hawks....Can the Kansas pull off the intrastate rivalry upset? It doesn't appear very likely.
(In my opinion.)
