Below is a link to the most comprehensive data on the Coronavirus I have yet to find. I leave it for each of you to support your own opinions.
I will inject one last time, and then I will be done with it....
Near the bottom is extensive data on the Coronavirus for both age and health conditions. It will clearly show that age and health have profound effects on death rates. I would also infer that health is closely correlated to age. That is, older people are less heathy. So therefore health is likely directly causal for age related statistics.
Since we are well tuned in to "exponential" growth....make note that the death rate rises rather exponentially with age.....blowing up with those over 60. It is not level across the general population.
Also note that death rates are highly correlated to only five medical conditions. Those with no medical condition are at a profoundly lower comparative risk.
Summarily, the risk of the Coronavirus appears to be exponentially correlated to age or condition....and most critically age and condition. Extremely so.
So hopefully, you can at least understand my position regarding the general population compared to those at high risk, whether you agree with it or not.
Regarding "flattening the curve"....
There is a fantastic discussion regarding flatting the curve, including a graph showing the comparison.
Make note that flattening the curve does not result in fewer cases. Rather, it reduces the number of cases in a short period of time. In this case, the focus is on making sure the cases at one time do not exceed the capacity of the hospitals.
As I see it.....
The statistics indicate that (just like in Italy) it is the elderly and those with severe medical conditions that run the risk of overwhelming the hospitals.....not the general population.
That is....we should be taking extreme measures to flatten the curve for the elderly, and those with medical conditions.
That is why my opinion is that we would be better off if we let the infection run it's course in the general population, so that that risk is gone more quickly for the others.
The statistics...at least to me.... do not appear to be there to support that the general population can overwhelm the hospitals.
However, the statistics also indicate flattening the curve does not result in fewer cases for the general population. Only when.
So why are we ruining the economy by treating the general population the same way as those at high risk?
...….And that is all I have to say about that.
https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus
I will inject one last time, and then I will be done with it....
Near the bottom is extensive data on the Coronavirus for both age and health conditions. It will clearly show that age and health have profound effects on death rates. I would also infer that health is closely correlated to age. That is, older people are less heathy. So therefore health is likely directly causal for age related statistics.
Since we are well tuned in to "exponential" growth....make note that the death rate rises rather exponentially with age.....blowing up with those over 60. It is not level across the general population.
Also note that death rates are highly correlated to only five medical conditions. Those with no medical condition are at a profoundly lower comparative risk.
Summarily, the risk of the Coronavirus appears to be exponentially correlated to age or condition....and most critically age and condition. Extremely so.
So hopefully, you can at least understand my position regarding the general population compared to those at high risk, whether you agree with it or not.
Regarding "flattening the curve"....
There is a fantastic discussion regarding flatting the curve, including a graph showing the comparison.
Make note that flattening the curve does not result in fewer cases. Rather, it reduces the number of cases in a short period of time. In this case, the focus is on making sure the cases at one time do not exceed the capacity of the hospitals.
As I see it.....
The statistics indicate that (just like in Italy) it is the elderly and those with severe medical conditions that run the risk of overwhelming the hospitals.....not the general population.
That is....we should be taking extreme measures to flatten the curve for the elderly, and those with medical conditions.
That is why my opinion is that we would be better off if we let the infection run it's course in the general population, so that that risk is gone more quickly for the others.
The statistics...at least to me.... do not appear to be there to support that the general population can overwhelm the hospitals.
However, the statistics also indicate flattening the curve does not result in fewer cases for the general population. Only when.
So why are we ruining the economy by treating the general population the same way as those at high risk?
...….And that is all I have to say about that.
https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus
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