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The more I look at the Big 12 race

2facedboonefan

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Oct 20, 2004
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The more I look at the Big 12 race, the more I think there are going to be some surprises ahead. The middle and bottom of the league are more than capable of getting a few upsets against the top of the league. Oklahoma clearly looks like the team best equipped to run the table, but they aren't so much better that they can't drop a game or two.

That loss at Baylor is hurting us pretty bad, but all we can do is keep winning. Oklahoma is not unbeatable. It's going to take a great effort for us to beat them, but this isn't a situation where we'll need to play a perfect game and have Oklahoma play a terrible game. The current reality is that we're a very good team. If Oklahoma plays horribly or we play great, there's a pretty good chance we'll win.

If we can run the table, we'll almost certainly be in the Big 12 title game. Why?

Well, if Baylor also runs the table, ISU would be all alone in 2nd behind Baylor and we would get a rematch with them.

If ISU were to run the table and Baylor were to run the table except for losing to Oklahoma so that ISU, OU, and BU finish tied at 8-1, the tiebreaker would go down to point differential in games between the tied teams and the team with the worst point differential would be eliminated. I'm not going to show the math for possible results, but it looks like as long as Baylor lost to Oklahoma by at least 4 points, ISU would be guaranteed a spot in the title game.
 
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