I've been trying not post anything until my subscription expires in December, but I cannot hold back any longer. In one sentence, Matthew will not be anywhere near as bad as original predicted for east coast of FL. More than 2 hours, I started to observe that Matthew was staying well off shore and also the inner eye wall was gradually dissipating. This meant two things to me: The track will be a little further east (each mile is very important) and the eye wall was expanding. The ey wall becoming much larger means the strongest winds near the eye wall are weakening.
I doubt that the max sustained winds were still at 130 mph on the last update. I think it was more in the range of 115-120. It should weaken further over the next several hours. Think of an ice skater doing a spin. With arms coming together the spin speed increases. with arms spread out, speed decreases. I do agree with the Hurricane center that the eye of Matthew may never touch the east coast of FL, GA, or SC. It will likely make the loop around, but IF it loops back into FL it will likely be no more than a tropical depression.
I doubt that the max sustained winds were still at 130 mph on the last update. I think it was more in the range of 115-120. It should weaken further over the next several hours. Think of an ice skater doing a spin. With arms coming together the spin speed increases. with arms spread out, speed decreases. I do agree with the Hurricane center that the eye of Matthew may never touch the east coast of FL, GA, or SC. It will likely make the loop around, but IF it loops back into FL it will likely be no more than a tropical depression.
